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EURJPY: Bearish Trend Persists Despite Rebound Above 181.15 Pivot

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of EURJPY for September 04, 2026.

Technical Analysis of EURJPY

EURJPY Daily Chart Insight

(EURJPY Daily Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

EURJPY maintains a bearish daily bias following the sharp decline from the recent 185.65 area toward 181.06. Price is now well below the red 16-period moving average, purple 50-period moving average, and blue 100-period moving average, with the red MA16 turning sharply lower, while the purple MA50 and blue MA100 remain clustered around the 184.40–185.03 region.

This developing bearish alignment keeps the broader advantage with sellers, while RSI(14) at 29.19 shows that downside momentum has become stretched. Immediate support is concentrated around 180.65–180.90, while a stronger recovery would first need to reclaim 181.90–182.53 before challenging the moving-average cluster above. Until EURJPY can recover and hold above these broken resistance areas, there is insufficient confirmation of a broader bullish reversal.

Key Levels:

  • Support 1 (180.65–180.90): The latest selloff found immediate support in this area, making it the nearest visible downside floor.
  • Support 2 (179.40): This marks the prominent lower wick formed during the previous sharp decline and remains the next major support below.
  • Resistance 1 (181.90–182.53): The first significant overhead zone following the latest breakdown.
  • Resistance 2 (183.775): A visible reaction area that price traded through before the latest acceleration lower.
  • Resistance 3 (184.40–185.03): The major moving-average cluster containing the red MA16, purple MA50, and blue MA100, making it an important broader invalidation area for the bearish structure.

EURJPY 2-Hour Chart Analysis

(EURJPY 2-Hour Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

EURJPY remains under strong bearish short-term control, with price at 181.076 trading well beneath the red 16-period moving average, purple 50-period moving average, and blue 100-period moving average. The red MA16 is falling steeply toward the 181.93 region, while the purple MA50 and blue MA100 are also sloping lower around the 184.27 and 185.05 areas respectively, producing a clearly bearish alignment.

After reaching the 180.63 region, price has staged a modest rebound toward 181.41, but RSI(14) remains at 25.63, indicating that the market is still deeply stretched on the downside. A temporary corrective rebound or sideways pause is therefore possible, although the short-term bearish structure remains intact unless price can reclaim the nearby resistance zones.

Breakout Scenarios:

  • Bullish continuation is a possible corrective scenario, triggered by a decisive break and hold above 181.67. This would expose the 181.93–182.19 resistance area, where the falling red MA16 may continue to cap the rebound.
  • Bearish correction of the rebound is the higher-probability outcome, triggered by a failure below 181.67 followed by a decisive breakdown through 180.63. This would expose 180.37 followed by 180.11.

EURJPY Pivot Indicator

(EURJPY 30-Minute Chart, Source: Trading Central)

EURJPY is currently trading just above the 181.15 main pivot, giving the M30 chart a cautiously bullish immediate bias following the earlier decline. RSI has recovered to 50.21, while MACD remains below zero at -0.11 but has turned higher and moved above its signal line.

These readings suggest that bearish momentum is easing and a corrective recovery is developing, although the market has not yet established a confirmed broader bullish trend.

  • Bullish Breakout: The bullish preference remains active while EURJPY holds above 181.15 and clears the lower red target line. The first upside target is the lower red target line immediately below 181.88, followed by 181.88. Confirmation would require RSI to remain above 50.21 while MACD continues rising from -0.11 and stays above its signal line.
  • Bearish Rejection: A decisive move back below 181.15 would shift the immediate bias bearish. The first downside target would be the upper green target line immediately above 180.82, followed by 180.82. Confirmation would require RSI to fall below 50.21 while MACD turns lower from -0.11 and moves back below its signal line.

Disclaimer Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.

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